Taiwan Strait War-Scenario Myths Spreading

Summary


GULF BREEZE, Fla. - In mid-February, CIA Director Porter Goss said that "Beijing's military modernization and military buildup is tilting the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait." That statement is accurate but misleading: Was he talking about a balance between China and Taiwan alone or China and Taiwan with U.S. support? In neither case is the current power balanced.

Without our support, China already has a preponderance of power over Taiwan. And we have far more military capability than China, but it is generally agreed that U.S. forces could inflict destruction and prevent an invasion of Taiwan, but could not invade and occupy China.

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Extract


Taiwan Strait War-Scenario Myths Spreading

It is the job of military planners to assume that China will use force, but the real issue involves China's politics, not military capability.

REUNIFICATION IS written into China's 1982 constitut...

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